United Arab Emirates has announced that it
will leave OPEC and OPEC+ from 1 May 2026
¨
United Arab Emirates
(UAE) has announced that it will leave OPEC and OPEC+ from 1 May 2026.
¨ The decision comes amid
global oil market instability caused by the US–Israel war on Iran and
disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
¨
The UAE is one of the
major global oil producers, so its exit is expected to significantly impact
global energy politics and oil prices.
¨
UAE Energy Minister
Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei stated that the decision is based on the country’s
long-term strategic and economic interests.
¨
The UAE wants greater
flexibility in oil production and alignment with its growing production
capacity.
¨
Under OPEC’s quota-based
system, production limits were seen as restrictive for the UAE’s expansion
plans.
¨
The UAE has a production
capacity of around 4.8 million barrels per day.
Impact on OPEC and OPEC+
¨
Weakening of the group’s
ability to control oil supply
¨
Reduced influence on
global oil price stability
¨
Increased burden on Saudi
Arabia to maintain market balance
¨ Possible decline in OPEC’s global dominance Analysts believe the move could further reduce OPEC’s influence as the United States increases oil production outside the cartel framework.